FNUS75 KGJT 021426
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COAL CREEK...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
826 AM MDT FRI SEP 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0748 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROF WILL BE SWINGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY WITH
SUPPORT FROM AN UPPER LEVEL JET PUSHING A COOL FRONT SOUTHWARD
TOWARD THE BURN SITE THIS EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL
GRADUALLY TURN MORE WESTERLY AT RIDGE-TOP LEVEL AND ALLOW DRY AIR TO
MOVE INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS
LOOK TO DROP INTO THE LOWER TEENS AS HIGHS PUSH INTO THE LOWER 80S
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS DRY AIR-MASS WILL PROMOTE SOME DEEPER
MIXING  AND LEAD TO LOCALIZED GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH AND NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE  WEATHER CONDITIONS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE OR FROM VIRGA PASSING
OVERHEAD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
                    LOCALIZED GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH POSSIBLE. OUTFLOW
                    WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM
                    NEARBY STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING CLEAR
                    (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 1O TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH AT AROUND 10 MPH BY 10 PM MDT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH BY LATE
                    EVENING.
.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110902.COALC.01/GJT