FNUS75 KGJT 030104
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HANCOCK GULCH...GRAND JUNCTION AIR CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
704 PM MDT FRI SEP 2 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1519 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW IS BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION...
AS A RESULT NO CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. WINDS
ALOFT WILL ALSO BE LIGHT...SO SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY TERRAIN
DRIVEN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING CLEAR
                    (0-10%) AFTER SUNSET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD...DECREASING TO POOR (8300-11800 KNOT-FT)
                    AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO UPSLOPE 4-9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000-32900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION AIR CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110902.HANCO.01/GJT