FNUS74 KLZK 021352 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ANDY KNIGHT 8A...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 852 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER FOR TODAY. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ALONG WITH AN APPROACHING FRONT FROM THE NORTH...WILL BEGIN TO HAVE AN INFLUENCE ON LOCAL CONDITIONS BEGINNING EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FOR TODAY...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPERIENCED AT THE BURN SITE. DEW POINTS AROUND 70 THIS MORNING SHOULD MIX DOWN TO THE LOW TO MID 60S BY THIS AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...AFTERNOON RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...LOCAL AFTERNOON RH READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE WERE SEEN YESTERDAY AND COULD SEE THAT HAPPENING AGAIN TODAY. CONFIDENCE IN WHETHER OR NOT THAT WILL OCCUR AT THE BURN SITE IS LOW. WITH REGARD TO WINDS...THEY WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE EAST AROUND 3 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN LOW AS THE STATE REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GOOD RH RECOVERIES AND LIGHT OR NEAR CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. TOMORROW...EXPECT STRONGER EASTERLY WINDS...5-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON ...AND A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER. THE INFLUENCE OF AN APPROACHING FRONT FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY AND THE TROPICAL STORM ALONG THE LOUISIANA COASTLINE WILL BE FELT MAINLY IN THE RH FIELDS. MOISTURE POOLING BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS SHOULD KEEP AFTERNOON RH READINGS ELEVATED AS DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE HIGHER AS WELL...DUE TO FLOW AROUND THE TROPICAL SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH ...THOUGH MIXING HEIGHTS A BIT LOWER THAN THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........92 AT IGNITION...MAX 100. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............92 94 97 98 99 99 97 RH..............44 40 36 34 32 31 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 6 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 8 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 73. RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............95 92 88 85 83 81 80 79 78 77 77 76 RH..............37 42 48 54 58 61 64 67 68 69 70 72 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110902.ANDYK.01/LZK