FNUS73 KDLH 041100
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
600 AM CDT SUN SEP 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2028 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A NORTHERLY FLOW OF AIR IS EXPECTED TODAY. A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS AT THE
SURFACE UNTIL SUNSET. A LARGE CLOUD SHIELD WILL COVER THE FIRE
AREA THROUGH THE DAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS THAN FIVE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. THE SKY
WILL CLEAR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVES FROM THE WEST. WITH A
LIGHT WIND AFTER MIDNIGHT...SOME PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE. ON
MONDAY...THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVERHEAD WITH A LIGHT WIND AND
SUNNY SKY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (55600) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95800)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (104000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (68700) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............49     52     54     56     57     56
RH..............83     71     66     59     57     57
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     NW     N      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD..7      8      9      9      8      7
20 FT WIND GUST.13     15     16     16     15     13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
                    PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............51     43     40     37     36     35
RH..............66     82     82     85     82     82
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      NW     NW     W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..5      4      2      1      0      0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     6      3      2      1      1

.LABOR DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200) INCREASING TO FAIR (14500) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO FAIR (24600)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (21200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............34     44     54     61     64     63
RH..............85     57     41     33     32     36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0      2      4      5      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST.1      3      6      9      9      6

$$
FORECASTER...GREG
REQUESTED BY...DOUG MIEDTKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110903.PAGAM.01/DLH