FNUS72 KJAX 032038
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEABAY...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
438 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1621 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
THIS WEEKEND AS TROPICAL STORM LEE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL GULF STATES.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE SUNDAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS MOISTURE SURGES NORTHWARD FROM THE
SOUTH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THIS WEEKEND.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........50     45     45     47     40     40
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     80     76     74     73     71
RH..............51     69     78     84     89     96
20 FT WIND......E 9    SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4700   3300   3300   900    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15  SE 12  SE 12  SE 9   SE 7   SE 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LVORI...............MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........53     74     74     72     78     78
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............70     70     80     87     89     88
RH..............100    100    74     60     56     58
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 5   SE 7   S 10   S 13   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1400   1400   2000   2600   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7   SE 9   SE 9   S 14   S 16   S 16
LVORI...........M      M      M      M      M      M
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     50     50     50     70     70
LAL.............2      3      3      3      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...STRUBLE
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110903.OCEAB.03/JAX