FNUS71 KRNK 031722 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR RAINBOW ROCKS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 122 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1308 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MID OR LATE AFTERNOON AND THEN DRIFT SOUTHWEST. THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION...STRONG OUTFLOW MAY OCCUR IN THE VICINITY OF THE STORMS WITH ERRATIC STRONG GUSTS POSSIBLE. THE STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING WITH ANOTHER OVERNIGHT OF VALLEY FOG AND VERY MOIST CONDITIONS. INVERSION ALSO LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT BUT SHOULD MIX OUT A BIT SOONER...BY MID MORNING ON SUNDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT...MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST AND STALLING OVER OR NEAR THE THE AREA ON MONDAY. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL SURGE NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK AND INTERACT WITH THIS FRONT...RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD RAIN AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............42 52 55 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................83 90 89 RH..................69 48 49 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 3 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 10 CWR.................20 40 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 2 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............54 50 49 44 38 40 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............CHANCE S CHC S CHC TEMP................86 81 77 74 71 70 RH..................54 67 77 84 90 93 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 3 S 2 S 1 S 0 NW 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 3 S 2 S 1 S 1 S 0 NW 0 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 5 5 CWR.................50 20 20 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............46 53 57 60 63 65 WEATHER COV.........AREAS S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................68 68 75 80 84 86 RH..................99 99 77 64 56 53 20 FT WIND..........N 1 NW 1 SW 2 SW 4 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......N 1 NW 1 SW 2 SW 3 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 10 10 CWR.................10 10 20 20 30 40 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...MONCURE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110903.RAINB.01/RNK