FNUS75 KGJT 041453
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLE CANYON...MOAB FIRE CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
853 AM MDT SUN SEP 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0822 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT GRADIENT WINDS ALOFT WILL MAKE FOR A DIFFICULT WIND FORECAST
TODAY. WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN TERRAIN DRIVEN AND 10 MPH OR
LESS...HOWEVER WINDS ALOFT ARE MAINLY FROM THE NORTHWEST SO ANY
MIXING MAY KEEP A NORTH COMPONENT TO THE WINDS. DRY AIR WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE TODAY AS WELL KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS DOWN TO
NEAR THE 10 PERCENT MARK. CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT SHOULD ALLOW THE
INVERSION TO FORM NEAR SUNSET. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST
DESERTS WILL BE EXPANDING NORTHWARD AND SHOULD PUSH MOISTURE INTO
EASTERN UTAH ON MONDAY. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE RIDING ON SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND BRING A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS NEAR 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.LABOR DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) BY MID AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MIDDLE CANYON IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110904.MIDDL.01/GJT