FNUS72 KJAX 041240
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEAN BAY FIRE...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
840 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT INTO THE ATLANTIC TODAY
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTH WITH NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25
MPH ON MONDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........77     80     80     83     84
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     84     88     88     86
RH..............84     65     58     57     61
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 9   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.8      12     14     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1700   1700   2300   2400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   SE 10  SE 10  S 12   S 10
LAL.............1      1      1      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...SUSAN KETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110904.OCEAN.01/JAX