FNUS75 KRIW 051032
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOWLIN...IA TDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
432 AM MDT MON SEP 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2135 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WILDFIRE AREA
TODAY...BUT WINDS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO REMAIN...LIGHT AND MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SURGE NORTHWARD THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CLOUDS INCREASING BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL BE THE BEST CHANCE
FOR RAIN THIS WEEK...ALTHOUGH VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. REGARDLESS IF THE
WILDFIRE RECEIVES ANY RAIN...COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MUCH HIGHER
RH WILL OCCUR TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY OR EAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL
                    1000...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH AROUND 1500.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800-9800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (124000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BY 2100.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH...BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY 2200. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL
                    BY 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (100600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (10900 KNOT-FT) BY 2000.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST TO EAST 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (50500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...NOWLIN IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110904.NOWLI.01/RIW