FNUS72 KJAX 051820
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEAN BAY FIRE...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
220 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1412 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS SURGING NORTHWARD OVER THE
AREA AS THE REMNANTS OF LEE MOVES FARTHER INLAND. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED...MORE NUMEROUS DURING THE
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO
20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN AROUND
10 MPH TONIGHT...THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE AGAIN ON
TUESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 22 TO 28 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....89.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........77     84
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............94     92
RH..............55     59
20 FT WIND......S 18   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   5500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 28   S 28
LAL.............4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........84     90     90     83     81     81
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............89     83     80     78     77     75
RH..............63     76     85     90     95     100
20 FT WIND......S 15   S 14   S 13   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     20     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   1700   1700   1100   600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 22   S 16   S 16   S 15   S 15   S 15
LAL.............4      3      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110905.OCEAN.03/JAX