FNUS75 KRIW 061012
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOWLIN...BRIDGER TETON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
412 AM MDT TUE SEP 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2210 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOOK FOR A
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS AT
THE FIRE SITE. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND
AGAIN THURSDAY. GUSTY WIND...LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE VARIABLE THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...DRIVEN MAINLY BY TERRAIN AND OUTFLOWS FROM SHOWERS AND
STORMS. EXPECT SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND A LITTLE HIGHER RH VALUES
THE NEXT TWO DAYS VERSUS PREVIOUS DAYS. ANY FEEDBACK ON WIND DIRECTION
AND SPEED TODAY WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 AROUND 8000 FEET.
                    45-50 AROUND 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS TO 30 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO EAST 7 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 9 TO 14 MPH AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN LAL 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.8 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400. THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 AROUND 8000 FEET.
                    38-42 AROUND 10000 FEET.

MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT

20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...DECRASING TO POOR BY MIDNIGHT.


.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 AROUND  8000 FEET.
                    50-55 AROUND 10000 FEET.

MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT AROUND 8000 FEET.
                    25-30 PERCENT AROUND 10000 FEET.

20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND SPEEDS TO 30 MPH
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS
EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WINDS
VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...JON FILARDO ICT4
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110905.NOWLI.01/RIW