FNUS75 KMSO 062201
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SHANLEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
401 PM MDT TUE SEP 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1530 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SQUIRRELY WINDS ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE RIDGE LIKELY
CONTRIBUTED TO UPSLOPE WINDS MERGING WITH NORTHWEST FREE AIR WINDS
ALOFT. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUITE LOW HOWEVER AS
THERE IS LITTLE WIND ALOFT TO AFFECT THE FIRE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN MOSTLY TERRAIN DRIVEN AGAIN TOMORROW WITH THE POTENTIAL
OF SOME ERRATIC WIND DIRECTIONS AGAIN NEAR THE LEE RIDGETOP. WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH POOR RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. HAZE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH AT RIDGE TOP BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE AFTER 2000 MDT. ELSEWHERE...
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-4 MPH AROUND 1800 MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. HAZE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH BEGINNING AROUND 0800 MDT. WINDS NEAR
                    RIDGE TOP BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH. THE MERGING OF
                    UPSLOPE WINDS AND RIDGETOP WINDS COULD RESULT IN
                    ERRATIC WIND DIRECTIONS ONCE AGAIN ON THE LEE RIDGE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...PALLISTER
REQUESTED BY...JD BAUMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110906.LITTL.01/MSO