FNUS76 KPQR 070720
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUMJUWAC...USFS MH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1212 AM PDT WED SEP 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1817 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE FIRE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHWEST OREGON
WILL EXPAND ACROSS WESTERN OREGON TODAY. THIS HAS PROMPTED THE
ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND
EAST WIND FOR ALL CASCADE ZONES. THE THERMAL TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN
JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE THROUGH TONIGHT CAUSING A
CONTINUATION OF OFFSHORE FLOW. THE SECOND ISSUE CONCERNS THE
POSSIBILITY OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS LOW
REGARDING COVERAGE AND TIMING BUT THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
MENTION THE THREAT ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THURSDAY. THE RED FLAG
WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...FOR A COMBINATION
OF DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND THE THREAT OF LIGHTNING.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND...BECOMING EAST 2 TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    1000.


TIME (PDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      5      10
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............57     64     73     79     81     80
RH..............42     34     26     20     18     18
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 1   E 2    E 5    E 5    E 3    E 3
   MAX GUST.....              8      10     6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH EASING TO 1 TO
                    3 MPH BY 0100.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........10     5      0      0      0      0
TEMP............78     68     62     60     60     59
RH..............23     30     33     34     34     35
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3    E 3    E 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 1
   MAX GUST.....6

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND...BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 4 MPH AFTER
                    1300. ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE BOGUT
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110906.GUMJU.01/PQR