FNUS76 KPQR 070156 FWSPQR SPOT FORECAST FOR MOTHER LODE...USFS-MT. HOOD NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR 656 PM PDT TUE SEP 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1627 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PDT THURSDAY NIGHT... .DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE DISTRICT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS START TO BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED TONIGHT AS ANOTHER SURFACE THERMAL LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE SOUTH OREGON COAST. IT WILL GRADUALLY MIGRATE NORTH AND EXPAND EAST LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND EAST WIND FOR ALL CASCADE ZONES BEGINNING TONIGHT. THE THERMAL TROUGH SHOULD BE NEAR THE CASCADES BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE SECOND ISSUE CONCERNS THE POSSIBILITY OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS LOW REGARDING COVERAGE AND TIMING BUT THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO MENTION THE THREAT IN THE OREGON CASCADE ZONES THURSDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...FOR A COMBINATION OF DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND THE THREAT OF LIGHTNING. THERE MAY BE AN 18 TO 24 HOUR PERIOD OF LESS-CRITICAL CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. BUT...LONGER RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A STRONGER OFFSHORE EVENT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE. CWR (%).............0 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. TIME (PDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE SMOKE TEMP............68 58 55 54 54 53 RH..............38 35 35 31 30 35 20 FT WIND......N 2 NW 2 E 1 E 1 E 1 E 5 MAX GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE. CWR (%).............0 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUST TO 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (PDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 20 20 20 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP............57 65 77 84 87 89 RH..............34 28 21 20 21 18 20 FT WIND......E 4 E 7 E 7 SE 5 SE 5 E 6 MAX GUST.....10 20 20 15 15 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...WOLFE REQUESTED BY...DOUG CURRIE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110906.MOTHE.01/PQR