FNUS75 KRIW 071017 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR RED ROCK...USFS BTF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 417 AM MDT WED SEP 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2207 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WIND FLOW IN THE GOOSEWING CREEK DRAINAGE TODAY...SHOULD TYPICALLY BE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST...AS THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT SHOULD KEEP THE DIURNAL UPVALLEY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND TO A MINIMUM. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO WORK INTO THE AREA THURSDAY...BUT THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM...BUT THE COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN WHAT OCCURS TODAY. DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS...WITH MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN FLOW IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MURRELL .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-75 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH IN THE GOOSEWING DRAINAGE. HOWEVER...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WIND OF 4-8 MPH COULD OCCUR AT TIMES. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (23600-46000 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR BY 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-38. MAX HUMIDITY........84-87 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10600-33300 KNOT-FT). .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 20 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 5-10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (11100-40000 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MURRELL REQUESTED BY...ADAM KOHLEY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110906.REDRO.01/RIW