FNUS75 KGJT 080331
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK PARK RESCUE...ARCHULETA COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
931 PM MDT WED SEP 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2108 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS MAY PERSIST TONIGHT AS CLOUDINESS
GRADUALLY DECREASES. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY AS THE
LARGER WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY STAGNANT. ENOUGH MOISTURE
WILL BE PRESENT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. STORM MOTION WILL
BE SLOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL 0200...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWER POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH. OVER RIDGETOPS...
                    NORTH 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) BY 1500. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 1200. OVER
                    RIDGETOPS...SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH AFTER 1300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20110907.ELKPA.01/GJT