FNUS72 KMFL 071526
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST EVERGLADES MELALEUCA RX BURN...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1126 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
REGION WILL RESULT IN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE BURN
SITE TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET. THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO THE SHORELINE
WITH THE LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE BURN SITE REMAINING SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST THROUGH MID-LATE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........33     40     40     40     40     33
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............92     94     90     86     82     78
RH..............67     51     55     59     73     78
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 7    S 9    SW 6   NW 2   NW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       9      11     8      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4    S 6    S 7    SW 6   NW 2   NW 1
EYE LEVEL WIND..       8      10     8      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   4500   5000   4500   4500   2400
MIXNG WIND......SSW 6  SW 9   SW 10  W 7    NW 7   NW 5
DISPERSION IDX..25     32     35     20     20     3
LVORI...........1      1      1      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     20
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 12 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 62 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BETTWY
REQUESTED BY...MATT OTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110907.EASTE.01/MFL