FNUS76 KMFR 072046
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BUTTE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
146 PM PDT WED SEP 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1226 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TONIGHT FOR HAINES 6
OVER THE WILDFIRE...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
11 AM PDT THURSDAY FOR LIGHTNING WITH INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE...

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH MOVES INLAND OVER WESTERN OREGON
TODAY WITH AN UPPER LOW APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING. HAINES 6 CONDITIONS
WILL TODAY SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE ACTIVITY.
DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT AS
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES THROUGH THE REGION OVER NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. EAST WINDS...VERY LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY...AND POOR
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.


.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 MPH
                    BECOMING UP VALLEY WEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15
                    MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15000 FT AGL BY LATE
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    BECOMING WEST 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
                    THIS EVENING AND THEN OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS 8-12 MPH
                    THROUGH LATE EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 0-3 MPH...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL THROUGH THE EVENING...THEN FALLING
                    1000 FT AGL OR LESS.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 5-15 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................6.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 MPH
                    BECOMING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.


.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 0-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 4-8
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................6.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-10 MPH MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JON LAMB
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110907.LITTL.01/MFR