FNUS75 KRIW 081039
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOWLIN...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
439 AM MDT THU SEP 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1954 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SIMILAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AS WAS SEEN YESTERDAY AT THE FIRE.
THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND
AT THE FIRE. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FORM AFTER 1300 OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND THESE WILL MOVE WEST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS FAR WEST WYOMING.
GUSTY WIND AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS ALONG
WITH SOME BRIEF RAINFALL. DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WITH NO STORMS EXPECTED. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY
AND MORE SOUTH ON SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200. THEN INCREASING CLOUDS.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 AROUND 8000 FEET
                    55-60 AROUND 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON TO 30 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2100 WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BY MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 9 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2100.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 7 TO 13 MPH.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY MIDNIGHT.


.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300. THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER 1300.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER 1300.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-45.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 58 TO 64.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 40-45. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 40-45. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...JON FILARDO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110907.NOWLI.02/RIW