FNUS76 KMFR 082242
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BUTTE FIRE...USFS RSF IMT3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
342 PM PDT THU SEP 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1440 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR HAINES 6 OVER THE WILDFIRE...

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE RECOVERIES IN THE MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO VERY LOW
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS EAST FLOW
CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WINDS THROUGH THE COLUMN
REMAIN EAST THROUGH THE DAY MEANING THAT...WHILE THERE WILL BE
SOME UPSLOPE WIND...WIND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW GENERALLY
FROM EAST TO WEST. SOME CONVECTIVE CLOUD DEBRIS IS EXPECTED IN
THE MORNING...AND SOME WEAK BUILD-UPS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE TO
POOR FRIDAY NIGHT...WORST UP HIGHER IN ELEVATION. THE THERMAL
TROUGH IS LIKELY TO MEANDER OVER THE FIRE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY WHICH WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FOR PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE ACTIVITY.


.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SMOKE UNDER THE INVERSION IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST-SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH EARLY. WIND BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH LATE MORNING ONWARD AT LOW
                    ELEVATIONS...BUT REMAINING EAST 2-5 MPH AT
                    MID AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS..
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY INCREASING TO 7000 FT
                    AGL LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 13000 FT
                    AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5-15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH MORNING...BECOMING
                    EAST 5-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT IN THE DRAINAGE TO 30 PERCENT ON
                    THE SLOPES AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH BECOMING
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 5-15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110908.LITTL.01/MFR