FNUS73 KDLH 101637 CCA FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI CREEK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 1135 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2034 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO REFLECT LOWER RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY...TODAY: WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH WILL DROP TO NEAR 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SUNDAY: GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A VERY WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IN ONTARIO SAGS SOUTH OVER THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOWER THAN USUAL CONFIDENCE IN MIN RH VALUES SUNDAY AND MAY NEED TO BE LOWERED IN LATER FORECAST AS MUCH DRIER ALOFT HAS POTENTIAL TO MIX TO THE SURFACE AND PRODUCE RH VALUES IN THE LOWER 20S TO EVEN TEENS. SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY: WINDS WILL VEER EAST SUNDAY NIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AND INCREASING 10 TO 20 MPH MONDAY AHEAD OF A POTENT COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE FIRE DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ON MONDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86. MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST WIND THROUGH 1200...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. A FEW GUSTS 12 TO 16 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER 1300. MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 8800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11600) INCREASING TO GOOD (42400). TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............81 79 83 82 RH..............26 20 20 23 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 8 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.9 14 15 12 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32100) DECREASING TO POOR (2150) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............76 67 63 60 59 57 RH..............37 52 60 67 64 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 3 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8850 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (139700). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............56 65 74 81 84 83 RH..............72 51 37 29 27 29 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 8 9 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 14 16 17 16 $$ FORECASTER...DECLAN REQUESTED BY...DOUG MIEDTKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110909.PAGAM.03/DLH