FNUS75 KGJT 091502
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRATER CREEK...USFS SAN JUAN NF PAGOSA RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
902 AM MDT FRI SEP 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MEANDERS AROUND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.  THE AIR MASS WILL BE
MOIST WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THIS WILL ALLOW FOR FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSAL THROUGH THE PERIOD IN SPITE OF 20-FOOT WINDS OF LESS THAN
10 MPH.  ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS REMAIN A POSSIBILITY...BUT WILL BE
SOMEWHAT SUPPRESSED BECAUSE OF RELATIVELY COOL CONDITIONS AND WIDESPREAD
CLOUD COVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 25 MPH
                    POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL...LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).  SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 25 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...FUELS TECH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110909.CRATE.01/GJT