FNUS72 KMFL 091251 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST EVER MELALEUCA...EVERGLADES NP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 851 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BRING MAINLY SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE BURN SITE TODAY. DAYTIME HEATING AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION VALUES WILL GRADUALLY RISE AND BECOME GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 11 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 56 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 39. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM SKY (%).........39 41 41 41 41 40 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD TEMP............90 93 89 87 85 81 RH..............58 51 57 61 67 78 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 S 6 S 4 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 9 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5 S 5 S 6 S 5 S 4 SE 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 10 8 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 5000 4500 4500 4500 2400 MIXNG WIND......S 8 S 8 S 10 S 7 S 7 SE 6 DISPERSION IDX..45 45 56 39 39 20 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 20 LAL.............2 2 3 3 3 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 77. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 1. LVORI...............6. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH BY LATE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 56 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, DECREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...BETTWY REQUESTED BY...DARRELL DENSEL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110909.EASTE.02/MFL