FNUS76 KMFR 091806
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR FIRE...USDA MODOC NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1046 AM PDT FRI SEP 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0953 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AT THE FIRE AREA
TODAY. THE AIR MASS WILL ALSO BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH THAT AFTERNOON
STRIKES ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE IN THE AREA. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT AT THE RIDGES WITH LIGHTER WIND DOWN AT
THE SURFACE IN THE MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO THE TYPICAL
DOWNCANYON WINDS.WINDS IN THE TRANSPORT LAYER WILL SWITCH TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AS THE THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST MOVES
FURTHER NORTH. SLIGHT COOLING IS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST OR
                    DOWNCANYON 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 AFTER 1400.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 8 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
                    INCREASING TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    1600. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...
THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63.
MAX HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 2000
                    FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN
                    TURNING TOWARD TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
                    DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN MACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110909.CEDAR.01/MFR