FNUS73 KDLH 111730 AAA FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI CREEK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 1230 PM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE WEST THEN SHIFT MORE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME GUSTY TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS WINDS WILL TURN TO THE EAST...THEN SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT...BECOMING GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN ABRUPT SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST...IN THE 1600 TO 1800 TIME FRAME...AS WELL AS A FEW SHOWERS OR POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. DUE TO THE SPEED OF THE FRONT...ANY SHOWERS THAT PASS OVER THE FIRE WILL BE FAST MOVING AND THEREFORE LIMIT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO A TENTH OR TWO. GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...HAINES INDEX 4 TO 5. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH...GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (72200) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (153900) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (149900) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............80 83 86 84 RH..............40 34 30 30 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 13 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.17 21 24 23 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42800) DECREASING TO POOR (2000) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............77 66 61 58 56 54 RH..............31 45 53 62 69 77 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 3 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 7 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10200) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (96000). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............53 59 66 71 77 78 RH..............83 72 61 55 48 47 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 12 14 12 20 FT WIND GUST.8 14 16 20 21 20 $$ FORECASTER...DECLAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110910.PAGAM.03/DLH