FNUS75 KPIH 111154
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
554 AM MDT SUN SEP 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2052 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL MIDNIGHT
MONDAY NIGHT FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS....

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE DISTURBANCE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST HAS BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE IMPACTING WEATHER
IN THE AREA OF THE WILLOW CANYON FIRE. MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR IS
MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE GREAT BASIN TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY.
WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
NEAR THE WILLOW FIRE BETWEEN 1500 AND 2300. PRECIPITATION TRACE TO
.02 INCH. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY MAY DECREASE OR END FOR A SHORT
PERIOD OVER NIGHT...THEN REDEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. WIDELY SCATTERED
                    LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1500 AND 2300.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6
     MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VARIABLE GUSTS TO 40 MPH NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.
LAL.................3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4.
LAL.................2.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4.
LAL.................2...THEN 4 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SURVICK
REQUESTED BY...MARTELL GIBBONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110910.WILLO.02/PIH