FNUS75 KRIW 102124 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR RED ROCK...USFS BTF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 324 PM MDT SAT SEP 10 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1459 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CURRENT SATELLITE DEMONSTRATES SOME DEVELOPING CLOUDS OVER THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASED INSTABILITY THIS EVENING WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND BEING POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHTNING. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL THEN TAPER OFF WITH THE LOSS OF DAYLIGHT THIS EVENING...BUT ANOTHER PUSH OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE ON SUNDAY. IN ADDITION...THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE FIRE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH AN INCREASE OF WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY...WITH INCREASED DAYTIME HUMIDITY DUE TO THE ARRIVAL OF INCREASED MONSOONAL MOISTURE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...BRANHAM .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38. MAX HUMIDITY........69-72 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH AFTER 0100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 2000. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY 0800...THEN BECOMING SCATTERED WITH THUNDERSTORMS BY 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69. MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH...BECOMING WEST AT 8 TO 12 MPH BY 1300. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN BY 1200. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS... THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BRANHAM REQUESTED BY...MERIDIAN IC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110910.REDRO.01/RIW