FNUS75 KGJT 110555
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR 9-11 MEMORIAL CEREMONY...PAGOSA FIRE PROTECTION DIST.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1155 PM MDT SAT SEP 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE DIMINISHES JUST A BIT ON SUNDAY AND THERE
IS NO FORCING EVIDENT IN THE LATEST MODEL RUNS EXCEPT FOR THE
ALWAYS PRESENT MOUNTAIN LIFT. THE MID-LEVEL FLOW IS FROM THE
SOUTHWEST SO LOOK SOUTHWEST FOR STORMS THAT MAY IMPACT THE
CEREMONY. THE MAIN EFFECT OF ANY STORM WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS AND A
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    EXPECT GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HARTMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110911.911ME.01/GJT