FNUS76 KMFR 112052
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GARDEN...OR-LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
152 PM PDT SUN SEP 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1249 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE ZONE 625...

DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA IS SENDING
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE SOUTH OF FIRE
AREA...ISOLATED STORM COULD DRIFT INTO THE FIRE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING. THE OVERALL WIND FLOW WILL BE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH EDDYING EFFECT TO TURN THE WIND
OCCASIONALLY BACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE UNSTABLE ON MONDAY BUT BY MONDAY EVENING A SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIR MASS WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY. THIS WILL LEAD TO
HIGHER AFTERNOON HUMIDITY BUT ALSO A STRONGER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
                    DIRECTION OCCASIONAL SWITCHING TO THE NORTHEAST.
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 9 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING VARIABLE BACK TO THE NORTH 1 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO
                    1000 FT AGL BY MONDAY MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-14 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH.
                    OCCASIONALLY CHANGING TO THE SOUTHEAST.
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 AFTER 1300.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...MONA GLADE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110911.GARDE.02/MFR