FNUS76 KMFR 112109 CCA
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKOOKUM COMPLEX FIRE...SOCAL TEAM#1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
206 PM PDT SUN SEP 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1202 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO THE FIRE AREA TODAY. THE
STORMS THAT FORM WILL START OVER THE CASCADE CREST AND DRIFT
WESTWARD. THE RIDGE THAT HAD BEEN IN PLACE FOR THE LAST WEEK WILL
WEAKEN AND ALLOW ONSHORE FLOW TO INCREASE. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
STRONGER NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INTO THE FIRE AREA BY MONDAY EVENING.
COOLER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE FIRE AREA IN THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO 4 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
                    WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL FROM LATE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    11000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........ABOVE 85 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS
                    BUT 60-65 PERCENT AT THE UPPER SLOPES
                    AND RIDGES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING.
                    LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 2 TO 3 MPH...EXCEPT WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    3 TO 5 MPH AT THE HIGHER RIDGES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WIND 8 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GONZALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110911.SKOOK.01/MFR