FNUS75 KRIW 112236
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOWLIN...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
436 PM MDT SUN SEP 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1616 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE FIRE
AREA TONIGHT. INCREASED MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUD
COVER AND SHOWER ACTIVITY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. EXPECT A SLOW DECLINE
IN TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900-3900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 10 PM MDT (22500 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING (40-50 PERCENT)
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
                    SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-6500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING BECOMING GOOD
                    BY NOON (60000-97500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 40. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...JON FILARDO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110911.NOWLI.01/RIW