FNUS75 KBYZ 131031
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
431 AM MDT TUE SEP 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1921 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONFIDENCE WILL BE LOW IN THE WIND FORECAST FOR THIS SPOT AS A
WEAK COOL FRONT WILL BE PUSHING UP AGAINST THE BIG HORN MOUNTAINS
DURING THE PERIOD. LOOK FOR NORTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING TO TURN
WESTERLY BY NOON TODAY...BUT TURN BACK TO THE NORTHEAST LATE
TODAY AS COOL FRONT PUSHES UP AGAINST THE BIG HORN MOUNTAINS FROM
THE EAST. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON BUT THERE
WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. RIDGETOP WINDS SHOULD BE FAIRLY CONSISTENT FROM THE WEST
TO NORTHWEST MOST OF THE PERIOD. RH READINGS MAY STILL BE LOW
TODAY...BUT EXPECT GOOD RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND NOT SO LOW
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE MORNING...THEN SOME INCREASE
                    IN CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND MIDDAY AT 5 TO 15 MPH. TURNING
                    BACK TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARD EVENING 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDER.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY EARLY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE. SHOWERS
                    SHOULD DECREASE BY THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS EARLY 5 TO 10 MPH. BEOCMING SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110912.RESER.02/BYZ