FNUS73 KLSX 121242
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR QRD...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
742 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION
TODAY AND TOMORROW. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO
DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT ON BOTH DAYS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BRINGING NORTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....3 MPH WITH ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.4.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...6100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10620 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....2-3 MPH WITH ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.4.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 86.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....3 MPH WITH ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.4.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9631 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...KANOFSKY
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110912.QRD__.01/LSX