FNUS75 KRIW 131034
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR VAIL FIRE...BTNF-GREYS RIVER R.D.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
434 AM MDT TUE SEP 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1741 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE AROUND
TODAY...THE COVERAGE WILL BE LESS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY
LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH MIDDAY...BUT INCREASINGLY DOMINATED
BY ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS FROM NEARBY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
WEDNESDAY...BUT SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE
AREA THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...VAIL IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110912.VAILF.01/RIW