FNUS75 KBOU 122215 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE CANYON RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 415 PM MDT MON SEP 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW OVER CALIFORNIA WILL VERY SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE NEXT 3 DAYS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND WESTERN COLORADO WILL SLIDE EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD AGAIN TUESDAY...THEN TURNING COOLER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........78%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 1600-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONECANONYRX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/12-16 61 23 5 71 33 NW13 18 3 3 SW 3 10680 NW 8 77834 G 09/12-17 61 23 5 69 35 NW12 17 3 3 CALM 10595 NW 9 79992 G 09/12-18 58 23 5 71 33 NW10 16 3 3 S 2 10511 NW 9 82149 G 09/12-19 58 23 5 67 39 NW 9 15 3 3 S 6 7227 NW12 57886 F 09/12-20 58 23 5 63 44 NW 9 14 3 3 S12 3943 NW14 33623 P 09/12-21 58 23 5 61 48 W 9 14 3 3 SW17 659 NW16 9360 P 09/12-22 58 0 0 59 52 W 9 14 3 1 SW20 517 NW15 7094 P 09/12-23 58 0 0 57 56 NW10 15 3 1 SW22 376 NW14 4829 P 09/13-00 50 0 0 54 63 NW10 16 3 1 SW22 234 NW13 2563 P 09/13-01 50 0 0 52 68 W10 16 3 1 SW23 207 W13 2255 P 09/13-02 50 0 0 51 72 W10 16 3 1 SW24 180 W13 1947 P 09/13-03 50 0 0 49 76 W10 16 3 1 SW24 153 W13 1639 P 09/13-04 50 0 0 49 77 W10 15 3 1 SW24 153 W12 1595 P 09/13-05 50 0 0 49 78 W 9 14 3 1 W24 153 W12 1552 P 09/13-06 56 13 3 48 78 NW 9 14 3 1 W23 153 W12 1508 P 09/13-07 56 13 3 50 74 W 9 14 3 1 W22 226 W13 2588 P 09/13-08 56 13 3 53 68 W 9 14 3 1 W20 298 W14 3668 P 09/13-09 56 13 3 57 57 W 9 14 3 1 W17 370 W15 4749 P 09/13-10 56 13 3 62 46 W 8 8 3 1 W15 2130 W14 23000 P 09/13-11 56 13 3 64 40 W 8 8 3 1 W14 3889 W13 41252 F 09/13-12 76 5 1 66 35 W 7 7 3 1 W13 5649 W13 59504 F 09/13-13 76 5 1 67 33 W 7 7 3 1 W10 6146 W12 62931 G 09/13-14 76 5 1 68 32 W 8 8 3 1 W10 6644 W12 66359 G 09/13-15 76 5 1 69 32 W 8 8 3 1 W 9 7142 NW12 69786 G 09/13-16 76 5 1 68 35 W 8 8 3 1 W10 6744 NW12 66960 G 09/13-17 76 5 1 67 40 W 8 8 3 1 NW12 6346 NW12 64134 G 09/13-18 92 22 4 67 43 NW 8 8 3 3 NW12 5949 NW12 61307 G 09/13-19 92 22 4 63 50 W 7 7 3 3 NW10 4050 NW10 41317 F 09/13-20 92 22 4 60 56 W 6 6 3 3 W 9 2151 NW 8 21327 P 09/13-21 92 22 4 58 58 W 3 3 3 3 W 8 253 W 6 1336 P 09/13-22 92 22 4 52 71 W 3 3 3 3 W 9 156 W 6 707 P 09/13-23 92 22 4 51 72 W 3 3 3 3 SW10 145 W 6 661 P 09/14-00 57 20 4 50 74 W 5 5 3 3 SW13 134 W 6 615 P 09/14-01 57 20 4 49 76 W 5 5 3 3 SW14 182 W 6 868 P 09/14-02 57 20 4 48 78 W 6 6 3 3 W15 230 NW 6 1122 P 09/14-03 57 20 4 48 80 W 6 6 3 3 W15 277 NW 6 1375 P 09/14-04 57 20 4 47 83 NW 6 6 3 3 W14 248 NW 7 1387 P 09/14-05 57 20 4 47 87 N 7 7 3 3 W12 218 N 8 1399 P 09/14-06 79 29 8 46 90 N 7 7 3 1 NW 9 188 N 9 1411 P 09/14-07 79 29 8 47 87 N 7 7 3 1 NW 8 193 N 8 1309 P 09/14-08 79 29 8 49 82 NE 6 6 3 1 NW 7 198 NE 7 1208 P 09/14-09 79 29 8 51 76 NE 6 6 3 1 NW 7 202 NE 6 1106 P 09/14-10 79 29 8 53 70 NE 6 6 3 1 NW 6 210 NE 8 1384 P 09/14-11 79 29 8 55 66 E 7 7 3 1 W 6 217 E 9 1662 P 09/14-12 89 34 13 56 64 E 8 8 3 4 W 7 225 E10 1940 P 09/14-13 89 34 13 57 64 E 9 9 3 4 W10 869 E10 9338 P 09/14-14 89 34 13 57 66 E10 10 2 4 W14 1513 E12 16735 P 09/14-15 89 34 13 57 69 E12 16 2 4 W17 2158 E13 24133 P 09/14-16 89 34 13 56 75 E12 12 2 4 W20 1966 E13 22381 P 09/14-17 89 34 13 54 82 E10 10 2 4 W21 1775 E14 20630 P 09/14-18 91 40 18 52 90 E10 10 2 2 NW21 1584 E14 18878 P 09/14-19 91 40 18 54 84 SE10 10 2 2 NW20 1801 E13 18778 P 09/14-20 91 40 18 52 90 SE12 12 2 2 NW18 2017 SE12 18679 P 09/14-21 91 40 18 50 95 SE12 16 2 2 NW17 2234 SE 9 18579 P 09/14-22 91 40 18 48 97 SE12 16 2 2 NW16 2202 SE10 19037 P 09/14-23 91 40 18 47 97 SE12 16 2 2 NW14 2170 S10 19494 P 09/15-00 88 36 14 46 96 S12 16 2 1 NW13 2139 S10 19952 P 09/15-01 88 36 14 45 97 S10 10 2 1 NW12 2042 S12 19885 P 09/15-02 88 36 14 44 97 S10 10 2 1 NW12 1946 S12 19819 P 09/15-03 88 36 14 44 97 S 9 9 2 1 NW10 1849 S13 19752 P 09/15-04 88 36 14 43 96 S 9 9 2 1 NW10 1712 S12 16996 P 09/15-05 88 36 14 42 95 S10 10 2 1 NW10 1575 S10 14241 P 09/15-06 76 44 21 41 96 S10 10 2 1 NW10 1438 S 9 11485 P 09/15-07 76 44 21 41 96 S10 10 2 1 NW10 1698 S 9 14062 P 09/15-08 76 44 21 45 84 S10 10 3 1 NW 9 1957 S 9 16640 P 09/15-09 76 44 21 49 72 S10 10 3 1 NW 8 2216 S10 19217 P 09/15-10 76 44 21 52 65 S10 10 3 1 NW 8 2413 S10 21529 P 09/15-11 76 44 21 55 62 S 9 9 3 1 NW 8 2609 S10 23841 P 09/15-12 58 34 13 56 60 S 9 9 3 1 NW 8 2806 S10 26153 P 09/15-13 58 34 13 57 59 S 9 9 3 1 NW 9 2837 S10 26020 P 09/15-14 58 34 13 58 59 S10 10 3 1 W12 2869 S10 25887 P 09/15-15 58 34 13 58 60 S10 10 3 1 W13 2901 S10 25755 P 09/15-16 58 34 13 58 60 S10 10 3 1 W15 2798 S10 25965 P 09/15-17 58 34 13 58 60 S12 12 3 1 NW17 2694 S12 26175 P 09/15-18 40 16 3 57 62 S12 16 3 1 NW20 2591 S12 26385 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BRIAN FAITH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110913.SOAPS.01/BOU