FNUS74 KEWX 131453 FWSEWX SPOT FORECAST FOR BASTROP COUNTY COMPLEX...SMEMC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 953 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0902 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A PURE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE EXPECTED MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND 20 PERCENT WITH WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS 17-22 MPH. OVERNIGHT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REBOUND TO THE 80S WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 4-8 MPH. WEDNESDAY WILL SEE SIMILAR CONDITIONS WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 22-24 PERCENT WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INCIDENT METEOROLOGIST BRENT WACHTER IN ON SCENE AND WORKING OUT OF THE EOC IN BASTROP. HE CAN BE CONTACTED AT: 505-414-0227 (CELL) OR 512-308-1438 FOR FURTHER WEATHER INFORMATION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........50 22 26 24 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 87 96 101 101 RH..............66 38 25 21 20 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 9 S 7 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6 SW 6 S 6 S 7 S 8 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........23 21 21 21 20 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............100 92 84 80 77 74 RH..............21 27 41 57 66 77 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 12 S 10 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 6 S 8 S 8 S 6 S 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........24 25 25 25 30 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 74 83 91 97 100 RH..............88 86 63 36 28 23 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 8 SW 10 S 9 S 9 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 S 7 S 7 S 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 15 15 15 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...22 REQUESTED BY...GIB WATT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110913.BASTR.02/EWX