FNUS73 KLSX 121909
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MTC WETLAND...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
209 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TUESDAY WILL START WARM AND DRY UNDER A CLEAR OR MOSTLY CLEAR SKY.
A SOUTHWEST WIND WILL PREVAIL DURING THE MORNING...BUT EXPECT THE WIND
TO TURN TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST BY NOON.  A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH
THE AREA DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON.  THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUGGEST REQUESTING AN UPDATE TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE IGNITION IF TIMING
THE WIND SHIFT ON THE COLD FRONT IS CRITICAL.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 5 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 60
                    PERCENT OF THE 20 FT WIND.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10856 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........78 AT IGNITION...MAX 87.
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 6 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 5 BY MID AFTERNOON.
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR 60 PERCENT OF 20 FT WIND.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 7 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IF THUNDERSTORMS
                    DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AT IGNITION...500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (11343 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...ANDY TAPPMEYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110913.MTCWE.01/LSX