FNUS76 KMFR 131651
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GARDEN...OR-LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
951 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0851 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE
BURN AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SKIES START OUT MOSTLY CLEAR
THIS MORNING...THEN CUMULUS BUILD UPS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THE FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA
THIS AFTERNOON....BUT IT WILL BE CLOSE. IF THERE ARE
INDICATIONS ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE BURN
AREA...WE'LL SEND AN UPDATE AND/OR WILL CALL. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH RECOVERIES SLIGHTLY
BETTER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. THERE IS GREATER CONFIDENCE
THAT THE FOCUS FOR ISOLATED STORMS REMAINS SOUTH OF THE
BURN AREA WEDNESDAY.

A HEADS UP FOR THURSDAY....CURRENT INFO SHOWS A DISTURBANCE
WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE
MAIN EFFECT FROM THIS WILL BE INCREASING AND GUSTY WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND NIGHT. ALSO THERE
IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN THE
AFTERNOON.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY TO START...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ANY
                    ISOLATED STORMS SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF
                    THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM UNTIL 11 AM PDT. THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    2-5 MPH. HOWEVER ERRATIC WINDS 6-11 MPH WITH
                    A FEW GUST TO 18 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IF STORMS
                    ARE NEAR BY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-2 MPH THIS MORNING. NORTH TO
                    NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM PRIOR TO 8 PM PDT...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR AND DRY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-6 MPH IN THE EVENING. BECOMING CALM
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 0-2 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE0-2 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    PRIOR TO 8 PM PDT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM...BECOMING WEST 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 0-2 MPH BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAVEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110913.GARDE.02/MFR