FNUS74 KOUN 131114
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FERGUSON FIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
614 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0552 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
SOUTHWARD TODAY REACHING THE WICHITA MOUNTAINS BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. VERY HOT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY CAN BE EXPECTED
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG WITH MODERATE WEST WINDS. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH
SPEEDS REMAINING MODERATE. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WITH MUCH COOLER AIR MOVING IN.
CLOUDY AND COOL WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
                    (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH BECOMING AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     77     86     94     96     96
RH..............45     35     27     20     18     19
20 FT WIND......SW 5   W 7    W 9    W 12   W 12   NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   4000   5600   6800   7500   7400
MIX HGT (M).....670    1220   1710   2070   2290   2260
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   SW 8   W 14   W 20   W 17   W 13
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 3   SW 4   W 6    W 9    W 8    W 6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GALLANT
REQUESTED BY...BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110913.FERGU.01/OUN