FNUS74 KOUN 141117
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FERGUSON FIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
617 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2304 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTHERN TEXAS TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS.  SCATTERED AREAS OF RAIN THIS MORNING WILL MOVE INTO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY LATE MORNING.  BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL
RETURN LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND PERHAPS FRIDAY.  SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............68     75     79     82     84     82
RH..............50     45     42     41     38     40
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 12  NE 13  NE 13  NE 13  NE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     25     25     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....600    900    2000   3800   5100   5000
MIX HGT (M).....180    270    610    1160   1550   1520
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14   N 17   N 16   N 14   NE 10  NE 12
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 6    N 8    N 7    N 6    NE 4   NE 5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 28 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 16
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GALLANT
REQUESTED BY...BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110913.FERGU.02/OUN