FNUS75 KMSO 142205
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SADDLE COMPLEX-BRF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
405 PM MDT WED SEP 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1529 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE WILDFIRE DURING
THE DAY ON THURSDAY...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INCREASING AT THE
RIDGETOPS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ON
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL FURTHER COMPLICATE THE WIND SCENARIO...
WITH ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS OCCURRING NEAR STORM CELLS. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED WETTING RAIN.
DAYTIME HUMIDITY FOR FRIDAY WILL BE MUCH HIGHER THAN THAT ON
THURSDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...72-77.
                    TOP...66-71
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...16-21 PERCENT.
                    TOP...22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                     5-9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                     AFTERNOON.
                    TOP...SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH INCREASING TO
                     8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
                     LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...42-47.
                    TOP...36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...81-86 PERCENT.
                    TOP...87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM... SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                     12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
                     2-5 MPH.
                    TOP...WEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUST TO 15 MPH
                     IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BOTTOM...61-66.
                    TOP...53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........BOTTOM...37-42 PERCENT.
                    TOP...45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BOTTOM...VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                     4-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TOP...WEST 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 7-11 MPH
                     WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...BART HOAG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110914.SADDL.01/MSO