FNUS74 KEWX 161823 FWSEWX SPOT FORECAST FOR BASTROP COMPLEX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 123 PM CDT FRI SEP 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1307 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL AID IN BRINGING A SHALLOW INCREASE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE REGION THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 35 PERCENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT MOISTURE RECOVERIES OF...OR GREATER THAN...90 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. 20 FT WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 15 MPH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND BELOW 10 MPH OVERNIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................4. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........57 57 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............92 94 RH..............40 35 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7 SE 8 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400-3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 21 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........57 50 50 50 75 75 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............92 86 80 78 76 75 RH..............37 44 53 70 80 91 20 FT WIND......SE 10 S 8 S 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 8 S 6 S 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 70 70 70 60 60 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 75 80 86 88 89 RH..............96 93 75 51 41 36 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 S 7 S 8 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 6 S 6 S 6 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...25 REQUESTED BY...ANDY BAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110916.BASTR.01/EWX