FNUS72 KJAX 181919
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIPPIN EAGLE FIRE...FL DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
319 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1500 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH
EAST WINDS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. SPEEDS WILL NEAR 15 TO
20 MPH ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT...THEN SPEEDS WILL DECREASE BELOW 15
MPH ALONG THE COAST LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY AS A WEAK FRONT DRIFTS
NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........80     67
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............81     79
RH..............67     69
20 FT WIND......NE 15  NE 16
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   3000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 20  NE 20
DISPERSION INDX.56     47
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20
LAL.............1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........67     60     60     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     74     72     71     70     69
RH..............72     82     87     90     92     94
20 FT WIND......NE 16  NE 14  NE 12  NE 10  NE 9   N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1800   1800   1100   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 20  NE 18  NE 18  NE 13  NE 9   NE 9
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      2      2      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110918.TRIPP.01/JAX