FNUS75 KTFX 181606
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER AYRES...USDA FOREST SERVICE ROCKY MOUNTAIN RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1006 AM MDT SUN SEP 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0936 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT HAS BROUGHT CLOUDS WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING. PARTIAL
CLEARING IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WHILE BREEZY CONDITIONS
CONTINUE. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH
AN INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. MPJ

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
                    SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53 VALLEYS...40-45 RIDGE TOPS.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT VALLEYS...42-47 PERCENT RIDGE TOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 35 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35 VALLEYS...35-40 RIDGE TOPS.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT VALLEYS...95-100 PERCENT RIDGE TOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 35 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 VALLEYS...40-45 RIDGE TOPS.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT VALLEYS...45-50 PERCENT RIDGE TOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MPJ
REQUESTED BY...ALEX BROOKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110918.UPPER.01/TFX