FNUS73 KBIS 191519 FWSBIS SPOT FORECAST FOR AUDUBON NWR...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1019 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO NEAR LAKE WINNIPEG WITH A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM WEST TO EAST FROM EASTERN MONTANA THROUGH NORTH DAKOTA LATER TODAY AND THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY BEHIND THE LOW AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR THE BURN AREA...THEN TO NORTHWEST AROUND DAYBREAK AND BECOME STRONG. A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. LAL.................1. CWR.................0 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........34 34 34 60 60 60 60 60 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 57 61 64 66 68 69 69 68 RH..............66 57 50 46 43 42 40 42 45 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. LAL.................2. CWR.................87 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........73 73 73 73 73 73 93 93 93 93 93 93 WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............64 60 57 56 54 53 52 51 51 50 49 48 RH..............54 62 69 72 77 77 80 83 80 83 83 86 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 17 17 17 22 22 22 33 33 33 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 45 45 45 45 45 45 CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 40 MPH DECREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. LAL.................1. CWR.................47 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........95 95 95 95 95 95 61 61 61 61 61 61 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............48 48 50 52 54 55 56 57 58 58 58 57 RH..............83 83 77 74 66 64 62 59 55 55 55 59 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..44 44 44 39 39 39 33 33 33 33 33 33 20 FT WIND GUST.55 55 55 55 55 55 45 45 45 45 45 45 CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...HEINERT REQUESTED BY...CHAD WIMER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110919.AUDUB.01/BIS