FNUS75 KCYS 191647
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1047 AM MDT MON SEP 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROMTHE NORTH WILL INCREASE WINDS ACROSS THE
BURN AREA TODAY. EXPECT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 12 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 35 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO FALL TO
THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS TO REMAIN STRONG THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT WITH THE FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH CARBON
COUNTY BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AFTER PASSAGE...NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING
TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. INCREASING
                    TO 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER 1 PM AND
                    PERSISTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48900-153200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING.
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO POOR (68800-3000 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (44800-120400 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...CLAYCOMB
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD PUTNAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110919.MORGA.02/CYS