FNUS75 KGJT 190030
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BITTER CREEK RX...MOAB BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
630 PM MDT SUN SEP 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE ON MONDAY AND
PERSISTING INTO TUESDAY AS THE STORM TRACK WILL BE SHIFTED NORTHWARD
NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER. AFTERNOON WINDS AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES
SHOULD TURN TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH THE NEXT FEW
AFTERNOON...AND TERRAIN DRIVEN NEAR SUNSET INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS.
THERE WILL BE A STRONGER WAVE PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING THIS WILL FORCE
A SURFACE BOUNDARY INTO THE GRAND VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON TUESDAY
AND TURN WINDS MORE NORTHERLY...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON EXACT
TIMING AT THE MOMENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 8 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15
                    MPH AROUND NOON MDT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING THEN INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 950.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL OR LESS INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL BY
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......100.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 900.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 10100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...ZACH GLOVER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110919.BITTE.01/GJT