FNUS75 KPUB 191023
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MTN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
423 AM MDT MON SEP 19 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DRY AIR MASS OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL MEAN NO PRECIPITATION AND
JUST A FEW CLOUDS.

ON TUESDAY A FRONT BACKS INTO THE SERN PLAINS...WHICH WILL PROBABLY
LEAD TO SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS BY AFTERNOON AT THE BURN SITE.  AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON TUESDAY WILL ALSO MEAN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SOME AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS ON WEDNESDAY LOOK LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR THE MORNING HOURS...BUT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE UPSLOPE AT 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WESTERLY 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN  UPSLOPE
                    10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(28 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2000 THEN BECOMING
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(39 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 10000 FT AGL BY 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110919.BLACK.01/PUB