FNUS75 KRIW 200112 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR SPALDING...IA TDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 712 PM MDT MON SEP 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1816 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PLUNGE SOUTH...MAINLY EAST OF THE DIVIDE...THIS EVENING. THOUGH LIGHT WIND WERE OBSERVED AT THE SITE...GUSTY WEST WINDS PREVAILED ACROSS GTNP EARLY THIS EVENING. A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE MAY PUSH INTO THE AREA BEFORE 2100. EXPECT AN ABRUBT WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTH BETWEEN 2000 AND 2100. A MUCH COOLER AND DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL ON TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MEUNIER .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-37. MAX HUMIDITY........70-73 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGH 2100...THEN SHIFTING FROM THE NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH THESE WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 2100. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH AFTER 2100...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD THROUGH 2100...DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65. MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH AFTER 0900...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1500. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL THROUGH 0900...INCREASING TO 5900-6900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO GOOD AFTER 1500. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MEUNIER REQUESTED BY...SPALDING FEMU REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110919.SPALD.01/RIW