FNUS75 KGJT 202302
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT SOPRIS SAR...PCSO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
502 PM MDT TUE SEP 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1541 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ROUGHLY STRETCHING ALONG
INTERSTATE 70 WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD AND MAY RESULT IN A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INCIDENT SITE. THESE SHOULD
MOVE OFF BY AROUND 1830 OR 1900...WITH NO ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL BACK UP TO THE EAST SIDE OF
THE MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL BRING INCREASED NORTHWEST FLOW
TO THE REGION. ALSO TEMPERATURES MAY LOWER BY A FEW DEGREES AN
COMPARED TO TODAY'S.


.THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) WITH SOME CONVECTIVE
                    BUILDUPS. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    WILL PASS BETWEEN 1700 AND 1830 AND MAY
                    PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INCIDENT AREA.
TEMPERATURE.........AT 10000 FT...AT 1700 AROUND 55 F
                                  AT 1900 45-48 F.
                    AT 12000 FT...AT 1700 AROUND 50 F.
                                  AT 1900 AROUND 40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
                    PRODUCE STRONG AND ERRATIC GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
                    ALONG EXPOSED RIDGES...WEST 3-6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AT 10000 FT...48-53 F
                    AT 12000 FT...40-45 F
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH
                    AFTER 1500 WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DEPUTY JOE BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20110920.MTSOP.01/GJT